By James Hood
Think you’ll be taking the train to work soon? Don’t count on it. A study conducted by the George Mason University Center for Regional Analysis finds that in 30 years, cars will still be the main way of getting to and from work in Northern Virginia and the D.C. area.
The study, headed by George Mason University Senior Fellow John McClain, looked at economic growth projections and tried to square them with likely modes of transportation. The findings won’t do much to encourage those who are counting on mass transit to ease congestion in the region. . .
. . . For all economic activity in the region, the share of GRP enabled by auto travel goes from 74.3% in 2007 to 73.1% in 2040, and economic activity supported by transit changes only very slightly from 22.3% to 22.2%. . . .Click here for the rest of this article.
Click here for the full GMU CRA report.
In fact, GMU forecasts the region will grow by 331% and Fairfax County will grow by about the same, 323%, over the 2010 to 2040 timeframe. That's more than a quadrupling of the region's and the county's gross regional product.
Until we have had a chance to read the full report, we'll limit our comment to one point: The findings indicate that the state and county will have to find ways to finance additional road improvements to accommodate the anticipated growth in traffic.
. . . and that's a lot of road!